文献类型： 外文期刊
作者： Maystadt, Jean-Francois;Calderone, Margherita;You, Liangzhi
作者机构：
关键词： Weather shocks;violent conflict;Sudan;disaggregated spatial analysis;pastoralism
期刊名称： JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ISSN： 1468-2702
年卷期： 2015 年 15 卷 3 期
页码：
收录情况： SCI
摘要： Our article contributes to the emerging micro-level strand of the literature on the link between local variations in weather shocks and conflicts by focusing on a pixel-level analysis for North and South Sudan between 1997 and 2009. Temperature anomalies are found to strongly affect the risk of conflict, whereas the risk is expected to magnify in a range of 24-31% in the future under a median scenario. Our analysis also sheds light on the competition over natural resources, in particular water, as the main driver of such relationship in a region where pastoralism constitutes the dominant livelihood.
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