数字农科院2.0

Analysis of Dynamic Biogas Consumption in Chinese Rural Areas at Village, Township, and County Levels

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Gongyi Li;Tao Luo;Jianghua Xiong;Yanna Gao;Xi Meng;Yaoguo Zuo;Yi Liu;Jing Ma;Qiuwen Chen;Yuxin Liu;Yichong Xin;Yangjie Ye

作者机构：

关键词： case study;consumption amount;consumption rate;forecasting model;rural energy survey

期刊名称： Agriculture (Switzerland)

ISSN： 2077-0472

年卷期： 2025 年 15 卷 2 期

页码：

收录情况： SCIE（2025版）

摘要： Understanding the characteristics of biogas demand in rural areas is essential for on-demand biogas production and fossil fuel offsetting. However, the spatiotemporal features of rural household energy consumption are unclear. This paper developed a rural biogas demand forecasting model (RBDM) based on the hourly loads of different energy types in rural China. The model requires only a small amount of publicly available input data. The model was verified using household energy survey data collected from five Chinese provinces and one year’s data from a village-scale biogas plant. The results showed that the predicted and measured biogas consumption and dynamic load were consistent. The relative error of village biogas consumption was 11.45%, and the dynamic load showed seasonal fluctuations. Seasonal correction factors were incorporated to improve the model’s accuracy and practicality. The accuracy of the RBDM was 19.27% higher than that of a static energy prediction model. Future research should verify the model using additional cases to guide the design of accurate biogas production and distribution systems.

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