数字农科院2.0

Joint effects of temperature and humidity on cotton yield vulnerability to verticillium wilt disease under climate change

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Zhang, Tianyi;Zheng, Bangyou;Xie, Zongming;Wang, Xuejiao;Zhang, Tao;Feng, Hongjie;Zhou, Jinlong;Ouyang, Fang

作者机构：

关键词： verticillium wilt;yield loss;temperature;humidity;climate change;China

期刊名称： PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

ISSN： 1526-498X

年卷期： 2025 年

页码：

收录情况： SCIE（2025版）

摘要： BACKGROUND Verticillium dahliae (Kleb.), a soil-borne fungus that can persist in soil for more than a decade, poses a persistent threat to global cotton production. However, its potential impact on cotton yield under changing climatic conditions remains poorly understood. This study aimed to quantify the influence of climate on cotton vulnerability to verticillium wilt disease in Xinjiang, China, and to project future risks under different climate scenarios.RESULTS Data from 2011-2021 revealed an additional 8.7% cotton yield loss per decade due to verticillium wilt in the absence of control measures. A climate-driven model identified the optimum temperature range for maximum disease severity as 25-28.5 degrees C, while relative humidity exceeding 82% markedly increased vulnerability. The model further indicated that cotton yield declines by 18.8% for every 0.1 increase in the disease vulnerability index. Projections show that climate change will amplify disease risk, leading to additional yield losses of up to 8.5% under the SSP1-2.6 scenario and 18.4% under the SSP5-8.5 scenario by the late 21st century.CONCLUSION Climate change is expected to intensify verticillium wilt-induced yield losses in major cotton-growing regions. These results underscore the urgency of integrating disease-control strategies with climate adaptation planning. By coupling field-based disease management with climate projections, this study advances understanding of crop-pathogen-climate interactions and provides a framework for developing resilient cotton production systems under future climate conditions. (c) 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.

分类号：

  • 相关文献

[1]Temperature-driven cotton verticillium wilt: a beta model for risk assessment from laboratory insights to climate scenarios. Zhang, Tianyi,Zheng, Bangyou,Xie, Zongming,Zhang, Tao,Feng, Hongjie,Zhou, Jinglong,Ouyang, Fang. 2024

[2]Adaptation of agriculture to warming in Northeast China. Yang, Xiu,Lin, Erda,Ma, Shiming,Ju, Hui,Guo, Liping,Xiong, Wei,Li, Yue,Xu, Yinlong.

[3]Temperature-and Relative Humidity-Dependent Life History Traits of Phenacoccus solenopsis (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) on Hibiscus rosa-sinensis (Malvales: Malvaceae). Yang, L.,Huang, L. F.,Wang, W. L.,Hu, Y.,Jiang, J. J.,Zhou, Z. S.,Hu, Y..

[4]Effect of environmental conditions on the permeability of low density polyethylene film and totally impermeable film to methyl isothiocyanate fumigant. Cao, Aocheng,Yan, Dongdong,Han, Dawei,Li, Jun,Liu, Xiaoman,Li, Yuan,Ouyang, Chanbin,Wang, Qiuxia.

[5]Humidity-sensitive pmma fiber bragg grating sensor probe for soil temperature and moisture measurement based on its intrinsic water affinity. Heng Wang,Shixin Gao,Xiaoyu Yue,Xin Cheng,Qi Liu,Rui Min,Hang Qu,Xuehao Hu. 2021

[6]Nutritional Status, Sex, and Ambient Temperature Modulate the Wingbeat Frequency of the Diamondback Moth Plutella xylostella. Wang M.,Wang J.,Liang P.,Wu K.. 2024

[7]Effects of Temperature and Humidity on the Fitness of Aphid Parasitoid, Binodoxys communis. Shike Xia,Ningwei Ma,Peiling Wang,Yanhui Lu. 2025

[8]The Effect of Temperature and Humidity on Yellow Tea Volatile Compounds during Yellowing Process. Weiwei Wang,Zhihui Feng,Rui Min,Junfeng Yin,Heyuan Jiang. 2024

[9]Modeling greenhouse air humidity by means of artificial neural network and principal component analysis. He, Fen,Ma, Chengwei,He, Fen.

[10]NDVI-Based Long-Term Vegetation Dynamics and Its Response to Climatic Change in the Mongolian Plateau. Bao, Gang,Zhou, Yi,Bao, Gang,Bao, Yuhai,Qin, Zhihao,Li, Wenjuan,Sanjjav, Amarjargal. 2014

[11]Quantifying maize grain yield losses caused by climate change based on extensive field data across China. Peng Hou,Yuee Liu,Wanmao Liu,Haishun Yang,Ruizhi Xie,Keru Wang,Bo Ming,Guangzhou Liu,Jun Xue,Yonghong Wang,Rulang Zhao,Wenjie Zhang,Yongjun Wang,Shaofeng Bian,Hong Ren,Xiaoyan Zhao,Peng Liu,Jianzhi Chang,Guohe Zhang,Jiayou Liu,Liuzheng Yuan,Haiyan Zhao,Lei Shi,Lili Zhang,Lin Yu,Julin Gao,Xiaofang Yu,Zhigang Wang,Liguo Shen,Ping Ji,Shuzong Yang,Zhongdong Zhang,Jiquan Xue,Xiangfeng Ma,Xiuquan Wang,Tingqi Lu,Benchun Dong,Gang Li,Baoxin Ma,Jinqin Li,Xiufeng Deng,Yonghong Liu,Qin Yang,Chunlan Jia,Xianping Chen,Hua Fu,Shaokun Li. 2021

[12]miR444b.2–HsfA1–AOC1 module mediates heat priming–enhanced blast resistance in rice. Jiehua Qiu,Xiuxiu Cao,Huanbin Shi,Zhengting Chen,Xiaoyu Zhang,Zijian Cao,Dongmei Huang,Hui Wen,Ya Chen,Yanjun Kou. 2025

[13]Factors controlling regional grain yield in China over the last 20 years. Wang, Xiaobin,Cai, Dianxiong,Grant, Cynthia,Hoogmoed, Willem B.,Oenema, Oene.

[14]Comparative flight performance of three important pest Adelphocoris species of Bt cotton in China. Wu, K. M.,Guo, Y. Y.,Wyckhuys, K. A. G..

[15]Climate Change Impact and Its Contribution Share to Paddy Rice Production in Jiangxi, China. Li Wen-juan,Tang Hua-jun,Qin Zhi-hao,You Fei,Wang Xiu-fen,Tang Hua-jun,Qin Zhi-hao,Chen Chang-li,Ji jian-hua,Liu Xiu-mei. 2014

[16]Geographic Variation of Rice Yield Response to Past Climate Change in China. Yang Jie,Yang Xiao-guang,Xiong Wei,Cao Yang,Feng Ling-zhi,Xiong Wei,Xiong Wei. 2014

[17]China's water-energy nexus: greenhouse-gas emissions from groundwater use for agriculture. Wang, Jinxia,Zhang, Lijuan,Li, Yumin,Rothausen, Sabrina G. S. A.,Conway, Declan,Rothausen, Sabrina G. S. A.,Conway, Declan,Xiong, Wei,Holman, Ian P.. 2012

[18]Climate change and glacier area variations in China during the past half century. Tian Hong-zhen,He Ying-bin,Tian Hong-zhen,Yang Tai-bao,Lv Hui,Li Cheng-xiu,Li Cheng-xiu,He Ying-bin. 2016

[19]Greenhouse gas mitigation in Chinese agriculture: Distinguishing technical and economic potentials. Wang, Wen,Guo, Liping,Lin, Erda,Wang, Wen,de Perthuis, Christian,Koslowski, Frank,Moran, Dominic,Nayak, Dali Rani,Smith, Pete,Saetnan, Eli,Ju, Xiaotang,Han, Guodong.

[20]Future cereal production in China: The interaction of climate change, water availability and socio-economic scenarios. Xiong Wei,Erda, Lin,Xu Yinlong,Ju Hui,Xiong Wei,Erda, Lin,Xu Yinlong,Ju Hui,Declan, Conway,Jiang Jinhe,Ian, Holman,Li Yan. 2009

作者其他论文 更多>>