数字农科院2.0

Macro Developments In The China A.nd Southeast Asia Beef S ector

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Waldron, Scott;Brown, Colin;Smith, Dominic;Waldron, Scott;Dong Xiaoxia;Phan Sy Hieu;Luong Pham

作者机构：

关键词： cattle; development; markets; statistics; trade

期刊名称： ANIMAL PRODUCTION SCIENCE

ISSN： 1836-0939

年卷期： 2019 年 59 卷 6.0 期

页码：

收录情况： JCR（2021版）

摘要： The international livestock revolution' (ILR) literature has documented an increase in livestock production in developing countries over the past 40 years that has not kept pace with consumption, leading to increased prices and trade. These trends were forecast to increase into the future, with important implications for development, agribusiness and policy in developing countries. The trends have unfolded as forecast in the dynamic and diverse China and Southeast Asia region, but to a much greater extent than forecast and in ways that could not have been foreseen. The present study revises official statistics and incorporates data on informal trade flows to show that the gap between consumption and production, as well as trade flows both within the region and into it, are much higher than has been officially reported. It draws on a large range of secondary and primary data to investigate the drivers of change, including reasons for lagged production responses to price growth in terms of cattle numbers, and higher than officially reported productivity indicators.

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