数字农科院2.0

Can infrastructure connectivity promote agricultural trade between China and countries along the belt and road initiative?

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Li, Xuehui;Xu, Shaowen;Zhang, Ao;Qian, Jingfei

作者机构：

关键词： The belt and road initiative;Infrastructure;Agricultural trade;Threshold effect

期刊名称： JOURNAL OF CHINESE ECONOMIC AND FOREIGN TRADE STUDIES

ISSN： 1754-4408

年卷期： 2025 年

页码：

收录情况： ESCI（2025版）

摘要： PurposeInfrastructure connectivity is an important factor affecting regional agricultural trade. The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship and nonlinear effect of infrastructure on agricultural trade in the belt and road initiative (BRI).Design/methodology/approachUsing data spanning 2010-2022, this study investigates the threshold effects of infrastructure connectivity on agricultural trade across 109 BRI countries, using principal component analysis and threshold modeling.FindingsThe analysis reveals substantial advancements in infrastructure development within countries associated with the BRI. Infrastructure demonstrates double-threshold effects on agricultural trade, exhibiting varied impacts at different threshold levels. Notably, the synergistic impact of combined transportation and communication infrastructure on agricultural trade surpasses the individual contributions of transportation or communication infrastructure alone.Research limitations/implicationsThe current research methodology and data constraints preclude a detailed heterogeneity analysis of agricultural products by industry. This aspect is slated for enhancement in future research.Originality/valueThis study provides evidence for evaluating the nonlinear impact of infrastructure on the trade of agricultural products in China. It also analyzes the threshold effects of different infrastructures and trade in different agricultural products.

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