数字农科院2.0

Food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic in Central Asia: Evidence from rural Tajikistan

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Yuhan Zhao;Chen Qian;Yumei Zhang;Xiande Li;Kamiljon T. Akramov

作者机构：

关键词： Central Asia;COVID-19;food security;international remittances;Tajikistan

期刊名称： Journal of Integrative Agriculture

ISSN： 2095-3119

年卷期： 2024 年 23 卷 8 期

页码：

收录情况： SCIE（2024版） ; ; CSCD（2023-2024年度） ; ; 科技核心（2024版） ; ; 农林核心（2020版）

摘要： Food security has been long understudied in the context of Central Asia. We present an analysis examining household-level food demand for Tajikistan and assessing the magnitude of its food security changes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on an extensive household survey data set from Tajikistan, we estimate the expenditure, income, and price elasticities for nine food categories using the QUAIDS model. Then, we develop a microsimulation model using the estimated elasticities to assess the dual impact of declining remittance income and rising food prices stemming from the pandemic shock. There are significant differences in demand elasticities across food groups, with high elasticities observed for nutritious foods, such as meat, fruit, eggs, and milk, in rural households. Moreover, our findings show that changes in remittance income and food prices significantly negatively affected food security for rural households during the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings have important implications for policymakers concerned about rural livelihoods and food security in remittance-receiving economies during the post-pandemic period.

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