文献类型： 外文期刊
作者： Lingyun Duan;Ziyuan Liu;Wen Yu;Wei Chen;Dongyan Jin;Suhua Sun;Ruixi Dai
作者机构：
期刊名称： IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
ISSN： 1755-1307
年卷期： 2021 年 772.0 卷 1.0 期
页码：
收录情况： EI（2021版）
摘要： Urbanization is a key part of achieving a overall well-off society in it's decisive stage. Accurately predicting the developing trend of urbanization rate has important practical significance for relevant departments to make strategic decisions. This article uses Stata software and the relevant data released by Data Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, selects the urbanization rate time series data of 31 provinces of China from 1990 to 2019, establishes an ARIMA model of urbanization rate and time, and predicts 2020 to 2050. Trend of urbanization rate in various regions. The data shows that, exclude individual areas, the urbanization rate of each area can reach 72% in 2030 and over 90% in 2050. However, the development of urbanization rates among regions is uneven, and relevant departments should formulate a reasonable development strategy on the basis of sustainable and balanced development. © 2021 Institute of Physics Publishing. All rights reserved.
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