数字农科院2.0

A Novel Framework Based on Data Fusion and Machine Learning for Upscaling Evapotranspiration from Flux Towers to the Regional Scale

文献类型: 外文期刊

作者: Pengyuan Zhu;Qisheng Han;Shenglin Li;Hao Liu;Caixia Li;Yanchuan Ma;Jinglei Wang

作者机构:

关键词: data fusion;evapotranspiration upscaling;interpretability;one-dimensional convolutional neural network;remote sensing

期刊名称: Remote Sensing

ISSN:

年卷期: 2025 年 17 卷 23 期

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收录情况: SCIE(2025版) ; ; EI(2025版)

摘要: Highlights: What are the main findings? An integrated framework was developed that combines multi-source data fusion (MODIS, Landsat, and CLDAS), a footprint model, and machine learning to upscale evapotranspiration from site to field scale, successfully achieving daily seamless 30 m ET estimation. The 1D CNN model using both remote sensing and meteorological data performed best in homogeneous croplands (R = 0.90, RMSE = 0.66 mm/d), while the model using only remote sensing data achieved superior accuracy in heterogeneous urban–agricultural areas (R = 0.93, RMSE = 0.88 mm/d). SHAP analysis indicated that LST and EVI2 were the most influential drivers of ET. What are the implications of the main findings? By integrating multi-source remote sensing and reanalysis data, the framework enables accurate daily seamless 30 m estimation of LST and vegetation indices, effectively bridging the gap between remote sensing observations and flux measurements and providing strong support for the application of upscaling methods at the field scale. By generating high-spatiotemporal-resolution evapotranspiration maps, the framework offers a practical tool for precision water resource management in heterogeneous landscapes. Accurate quantification of regional ET is essential for agricultural water management. Upscaling methods based on flux tower observations have been widely applied in large-scale ET estimation. However, the coarse spatial resolution of existing upscaling approaches limits their utility in field-scale management. Therefore, this study proposes an integrated upscaling framework that combines data fusion and machine learning, enabling spatiotemporally continuous ET estimation at the field scale (30 m × 30 m). First, daily 30 m resolution land surface temperature (LST) and vegetation indices were generated by fusing MODIS, Landsat, and China Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS) datasets. These variables, along with meteorological data and the footprint model, were used as inputs for machine learning. The upscaled ET was evaluated under varying surface heterogeneity using optical-microwave scintillometers (OMS). The results show that a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D CNN) using both remote sensing and meteorological data performed best in relatively homogeneous croplands, achieving a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.90, a bias of −0.14 mm/d, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.46 mm/d, and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.66 mm/d. In contrast, for heterogeneous urban-agricultural landscapes, the 1D CNN using only remote sensing data outperformed other models, with R, bias, MAE, and RMSE of 0.93, −0.14 mm/d, 0.66 mm/d, and 0.88 mm/d, respectively. Furthermore, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) revealed that LST and the two-band enhanced vegetation index (EVI2) were the most influential drivers in the models. The framework successfully enables ET modeling and spatial extrapolation in heterogeneous regions, providing a foundation for precision water resource management.

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